Close Menu
Invest Intellect
    Facebook X (Twitter) Instagram
    Invest Intellect
    Facebook X (Twitter) Instagram Pinterest
    • Home
    • Commodities
    • Cryptocurrency
    • Fintech
    • Investments
    • Precious Metal
    • Property
    • Stock Market
    Invest Intellect
    Home»Commodities»Farmers are making less money this year as ag economy normalizes
    Commodities

    Farmers are making less money this year as ag economy normalizes

    October 30, 20247 Mins Read


    Farmers in the Midwest and Great Plains will see decreased incomes in 2024 in what appears to be a down year for the U.S. agriculture industry compared to the previous two.

    Net farm income is expected to fall 4.4%, or $6.5 billion, relative to 2023 — which is a much rosier projection than the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s initial forecast in February.

    Amid slowing demand for crops across the globe, commodity prices for key American grains like corn, soybeans and wheat have fallen.

    “The farm economy is in a downturn relative to what we have experienced in 2022 and 2023, which was kind of a boom in agriculture,” said Joe Janzen, a professor of agricultural economics at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign.

    While the last couple of years had been record breakers for farm income, this year will be a return to more normal levels, economists said. That reality may mean farmers in the Midwest think twice about making big purchases this year, and that’s already trickling down to other sectors.

    “We’re kind of making the necessity purchases right now,” said Nick Koeller, an Illinois farmer who grows corn, wheat and soybeans. “If we need something, we’re going to make it work — but we’re not going to look to upgrade anything this year.”

    Economic factors

    Crop prices grew over the last couple of years following production shortfalls in Ukraine after Russia invaded in 2022. Production also recently took a dip in Brazil. In turn, low supplies across the globe increased demand for grain.

    In summer 2022, commodity prices spiked. Corn futures peaked at more than $8 per bushel. Soybeans climbed to nearly $18 per bushel, and wheat capped out at nearly $450 per ton.

    Now, those figures have all fallen. Corn trades at $4 per bushel. Soybeans are south of $11 per bushel, and wheat stands around $245 per ton, according to Business Insider.

    In the U.S., yields for those key commodities have been relatively strong over the past couple of years too, and this year is projected to be similar. Corn production will be down 1% from last year, but soybean growers are expected to increase production 10%, according to USDA forecasts.

    Nick Koeller wipes down the glass in a combine harvester. (Sophie Proe/St. Louis Public Radio)

    “That really has made the supply of these crops increase — not only here in the U.S. but on a global scale,” said Ty Kreitman, an economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. “That’s been putting downward pressure on prices.”

    The decrease in prices will mean there will be less income on farms across the U.S.

    “It’s a situation that, obviously, is difficult for the farmer because they are getting squeezed. Profitability on the farm is going to be very difficult to come by,” Janzen said. “But that’s not anything that U.S. agriculture is doing. It’s driven largely by global commodity markets.”

    Downturn for agricultural equipment

    The decrease in farm income has been noticeable for agricultural equipment makers — particularly Moline, Illinois-based John Deere, which accounts for about two-thirds of high-horsepower tractors in the U.S. and Canada.

    Demand for Deere’s equipment, like combines and crop harvesters, has plunged recently. Overall equipment sales decreased by 20% in the latest quarter, and profits fell 42%, The Wall Street Journal reported.

    “It’s the first year of a downturn,” said Mig Dobre, who analyzes Deere and other equipment manufacturers for the financial services company Baird, which is based in Milwaukee. “In our opinion, this is going to stretch into 2025.”

    To combat the drop in demand, Deere began laying off thousands of employees on its production line in states like Iowa. Chief Executive John May contends the agriculture machinery giant is being proactive and responding sooner than the company had in the past by cutting excess costs.

    Deere is not alone in its struggles, Dobre said. Competitors Case IH and New Holland, both owned by CNH Industrial, and AGCO, which owns Massey Ferguson, are feeling the same pressures from the greater farm economy.

    CNH projected lower profits amid slowing demand for its tractors and combines earlier this year. AGCO reported sales plummeting in the second quarter, citing lower commodity prices, weakening market demand and production cuts.

    Nick Koeller climbs down a combine harvester on his farm. (Sophie Proe/St. Louis Public Radio)

    Farmers, such as Koeller, may hold off on buying in the meantime. The fifth-generation farmer said he’d wait to reevaluate.

    “Moving into harvest, if the combine needs repairs, it just needs repairs. We’re going to repair it,” Koeller said. “As far as buying extras, we’re tabling those things until maybe after harvest.”

    Land sales

    Farmers National Co., an Omaha-based firm that specializes in agricultural real estate, reported earlier this year that the land market is “settling.”

    Tim Johnson, an area vice president for Farmers National in eastern Nebraska and western Iowa, said decreased farm income does play a role. Interest rates that are higher than they had been in about 15 years also factors into the equation.

    “When you deal with the volume of what these land prices are, that interest rate really adds up quickly,” said Johnson, who’s based in Grand Island, Nebraska. “So, that truly causes a level of conservatism to come into play.”

    Overall, Johnson estimates farmland prices have decreased by 5% to 10% across the board in his neck of the woods.

    Yet desirable farmland still generates demand, and bidders will compete for that property, Johnson said. The lower-tier properties are a different story.

    “Farmers aren’t quite as motivated to go out and pay a premium for those farms,” he said.

    Buying farmland is a tricky gamble for farmers, however. While a local dealer will have options for farm equipment, land isn’t always for sale. Oftentimes, it’s only available when a neighbor retires or someone dies. Farmers might have to take the risk, even when the economics aren’t the most attractive.

    “The biggest thing with purchasing ground is they don’t make any more,” Koeller said. “That’s the one caveat in land that’s different from a lot of other things — there’s only so many acres.”

    More loans and bankruptcy

    Agriculture is a fairly debt-intensive industry, said Kreitman with the Kansas City Fed. With less cash this year, the bank is observing higher loan demand from farmers. 

    “We’re seeing growth and sort of use of debt at the same time that we are seeing interest rates at a level that really we haven’t seen for several decades,” Kreitman said. “That puts another element into the equation.”

    In the Federal Reserve’s 10th District, which includes Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Wyoming, the northern half of New Mexico and the western third of Missouri, nearly 45% of lenders surveyed reported more demand for non-real estate farm loans than a year ago.

    Loan renewals and extensions are also increasing in that region, and repayment rates have declined, the survey found.

    The good news for farmers needing to take on debt is that the Federal Reserve recently slashed rates by half a percentage point — and leaders at the central bank could make another cut before the end of the year.

    The USDA is projecting a small increase in the bankruptcy rate among farmers this year compared to last. However, 2022 and 2023 had record low levels — the lowest in 20 years.

    Yet, there are bright spots for producers.

    Livestock, as a whole, is forecast to do well in 2024. Cattle and calves will make 4% more than last year, totaling $4 billion, increasing for the fourth consecutive year, the USDA reports. Prices for dairy, broilers, hogs and eggs are also projected to rise this year.

    “It does appear to be a period of relatively good times in the livestock sector,” Janzen said.

    There’s a lot happening in the world.  Through it all, Marketplace is here for you. 

    You rely on Marketplace to break down the world’s events and tell you how it affects you in a fact-based, approachable way. We rely on your financial support to keep making that possible. 

    Your donation today powers the independent journalism that you rely on. For just $5/month, you can help sustain Marketplace so we can keep reporting on the things that matter to you.  



    Source link

    Share. Facebook Twitter Pinterest LinkedIn Tumblr Email

    Related Posts

    Australia Considers Critical Minerals Price Floor to Help Support New Projects | World News

    Commodities

    a solid, star-studded attempt to broaden their horizons

    Commodities

    The Metal Years is now free to watch on YouTube

    Commodities

    Crude oil futures fall despite Trump tariff threats

    Commodities

    Adani Energy Solutions shares in focus today, here’s why 

    Commodities

    Buying in metals, auto stocks takes Sensex above 81K

    Commodities
    Leave A Reply Cancel Reply

    Top Picks
    Property

    Wilmington, NC, bed and breakfast on USA TODAY’s list of nation’s best

    Commodities

    2024 Dominion Energy Charity Classic: Prize Money Breakdown & Winner’s Payout

    Cryptocurrency

    Trump Bans CBDC, Forms Task Force To Regulate Cryptocurrency and Create Bitcoin Stockpile

    Editors Picks

    Le prince William ne sera pas seul pour son prochain déplacement officiel, et ce n’est pas Kate Middleton qui l’accompagnera

    June 4, 2025

    Is rental property a good investment?

    February 9, 2025

    Nigeria’s cryptocurrency transactions hit $59bn despite ban

    March 15, 2025

    Aave offre des rendements plus élevés que Wise et Revolut, alimentant la hausse de l’AAVE

    April 12, 2025
    What's Hot

    Digital Commodities Clarifies Third-Party Promotional Material

    June 18, 2025

    Mathias Faure Takes on Expanded Role at audax, Leading Product and Tech

    August 26, 2024

    Western Oklahoma Local Agriculture Collaborative workshop held at Lawton Farmers Market

    October 10, 2024
    Our Picks

    Taiwan to boost US investments, remove trade barriers amid new tariffs

    April 6, 2025

    Regal Investments Commits $30 Million to Cryptocurrency Prop Trading Initiative

    June 20, 2025

    Skyharbour Partner Company Terra Clean Energy Plans Winter 2025 Exploration Program at the South Falcon East Uranium Project, Athabasca Basin, Saskatchewan

    October 15, 2024
    Weekly Top

    Visa Bonds Immigration Plan Called ‘Economic Apartheid’ — Why Tourists from Poor Nations Must Pay $15,000 to Visit the US

    August 5, 2025

    Man arrested for illegal cryptocurrency transactions worth over Rs 7.8 million – The Himalayan Times – Nepal’s No.1 English Daily Newspaper

    August 5, 2025

    The Metal Years is now free to watch on YouTube

    August 4, 2025
    Editor's Pick

    Transcript : Tube Investments of India Limited, Q4 2025 Earnings Call, May 16, 2025

    May 16, 2025

    Better High-Yield Dividend Stock to Buy Now: Pfizer vs. Prologis

    June 5, 2025

    Does the Fed Share the Stock Market’s Worry About the Economy?

    March 19, 2025
    © 2025 Invest Intellect
    • Contact us
    • Privacy Policy
    • Terms and Conditions

    Type above and press Enter to search. Press Esc to cancel.